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Information about the Effects of the Bush Free (Expensive)Trade Policy

 

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Bush Trade Policy - a look behind the scenes of a failed economic policy - its ugly!
by: Mike Crane

The Bush Trade policies continue to erode our country's job base, trade balance and long term economic viability. As shown in previous articles (see: Trade Deficit exceeds 600 Billion dollars for 2004 ... growing faster than a fire ant nest!) the effects continue to accumulate.

But this time we are going to demonstrate some of the behind the scenes information that is readily available with a few minutes and an internet search engine. The subject to be looked at is the recent "free trade" actions with China (that is Communist China, not Taiwan).

Lets look at the facts first:

  • President Bush in keeping with his "free trade" is good for us policy, opened the door for China produced textiles starting in January. Note this is just after the election, very interesting timing.
  • Initial economic reports indicate an initial surge of up to ten times the imports as before the Bush Trade policy was implemented.
  • In just January, 2005 - 12,200 jobs were lost in the U.S. apparel and textile industries, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

These are virtually undisputed facts. The excerpts from a New York Times article below provides some verification for the doubting Thomases.

Now in a time of ever increasing Trade Deficits, continued below expectations job performance and large federal deficits, it is hard to see how increased exports and loss of over 12,000 jobs are things that would be desirable. In fact the Bush Administration claims to be surprised and dumbfounded that their new policy does not seem to be working for the average American citizen.

So lets look at some of the background. There is a special Trade policy advisory board called the "President's Advisory Committee for Trade Policy and Negotiations" that is supposed to assist the President on such decisions. This Committee is appointed by the President and is supposed to be a balanced cross section of our country. Keep this in mind as we progress through this somewhat lengthy article.

When this trade policy was being debated there were of course two views; 1) That this policy would result in increased imports and job loss and be bad for our country and 2) That it would not have a major impact on imports or American jobs but would increase exports and thus create jobs and reduce trade deficit and thus be good for our country.

An example of the view that it is bad for our country:

"This isn't like the Y2K crisis, where everyone was afraid of a computer meltdown that never happened," said Cass Johnson, president of the National Council of Textile Organizations, a U.S. trade group that is pressing the Bush administration to impose immediate limits on Chinese imports. "This is happening, and the consequences are frightening."

An example of the view that it would be good for our country:

The National Retail Federation had predicted the opposite. In documents submitted to court to block the administration from imposing limits on Chinese imports, the U.S. retailer's trade association said it did not anticipate major changes in sourcing from any direction in 2005 for the shirts and nearly every other product that had been limited by quotas.

So here we have both views being expressed. The second one by the National Retail Federation turned out to be absolutely WRONG!

So you would think  - that President Bush would not be so happy with the National Retail Federation for giving him such bad advice - wouldn't you? Well that is not exactly what has happened. While the China imports were zooming and while thousands of Americans were losing their jobs for implementing this China trade policy look who President Bush appointed to his distinguished Advisory Committee for Trade Policy and Negotiations:

WASHINGTON, Feb. 23 /PRNewswire/ -- The White House announced today that President Bush has named National Retail Federation President and CEO Tracy Mullin to the President's Advisory Committee for Trade Policy and Negotiations.

Source: Bush Appoints National Retail Federation CEO to Trade Panel

We were shocked when we found this! What the blazes is going on? The very person that demonstrated by his public statements that he either was in Na Na land or was failing to tell the Truth, is given an even more instrumental role in developing and implementing the Bush trade policy.

This just did not make sense at first. After a few more pieces of the puzzle were discovered it does begin to make sense, but many of you will not like what these pieces are.

White House Rewards Donors with Slots on Trade Advisory Committee

December 13, 2002
Inside US Trade

The White House has rewarded major supporters of Republican
candidates in the 2002 mid-term elections with seats on a trade
advisory committee that meets regularly with the U.S. Trade
Representative and provides input to the president regarding
trade agreements.

The thirty-two appointments announced by President Bush Dec.
9 to the Advisory Committee for Trade Policy and Negotiations
(ACTPN) reflect a mix of major Republican campaign donors,
free-trade theologians and a few people with close ties to USTR
Robert Zoellick. Notably absent from the list are labor or
environmental activists and the list is also thin on
representatives of the agriculture community.

And:

The list includes executives from companies making big
donations through political action committees to Republican
campaigns in the 2002 election cycle. These include executives
from Weyerhaeuser ($244,750 to Republican candidates
compared to $74,250 to Democratic candidates), the National
Cattlemen's Beef Association ($298,878 to Republican
candidates compared to $52,200 to Democratic candidates),
Darden Restaurants ($128,526 to Republican candidates
compared to $16,000 to Democratic candidates), and Victoria's
Secret (whose parent company Limited Inc. gave $100,500 to
Republican candidates and just $19,000 to Democratic
candidates), according to Federal Election Commission reports
posted on www.tray.com.

 

So 12,000 Americans and their families are now on unemployment, many will have destroyed lives and the President is more concerned about rewarding campaign contributors and extending Republican power. Our country's Trade Deficit just got worse and those who recommend making it even worse still have the inside track because they make big campaign contributions to Republican candidates. More will join that 12,000, will one be you?

So when President Bush gives one of his rousing speeches about how HIS economic policies are so good for us, think about those 12,000 families in just January, 2005 that were sacrificed to maintain the Republican Party cash cow of corporate contributions.

This is not good government! This is not the style of government espoused by Our Founding Fathers. This is not even honest government. This worship of power and money, over the basic needs of American citizens is not government based upon Christian principles.

The facts above are not in question. You - as an American citizen - know what kind of government this represents. But it is your government, elected by none other than the American public.

Are you going to continue electing this kind of government?

Until the citizens make a change, it is only going to get worse.

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  The International Herald Tribune

 
China textile flood?
By Elizabeth Becker and David Barboza The New York Times
Thursday, March 10, 2005

 

Exports to U.S. heighten industry fears

 

WASHINGTON China has exceeded all predictions on textile exports to the United States since the lifting of global quotas in January, according to industry figures released Wednesday, confirming fears of American textile manufacturers.

In January, China shipped more apparel in certain categories, like cotton trousers, than it had in the previous year and a half, according to a U.S. textile makers group. But an importers' group suggested this ballooning might be partly a one-time phenomenon.

Predictions that China would flood the world market with cheap textiles had already inflamed trade tensions between Washington and Beijing, in part because of concern that the Chinese unfairly subsidize their industry and sell their goods at below-production costs, undermining U.S. producers.

In the first month of this year, 12,200 jobs were lost in the U.S. apparel and textile industries, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The countdown to the era of a quota-free market was looked on with fear by developing countries as well as the United States. Poorer countries in Asia with big textile operations, like Cambodia, are lobbying in the U.S. Congress to win special consideration and prevent China from dominating the world's textile trade.

But apparel and textiles are China's biggest export earner and China was prepared to take full advantage of the lifting of global quotas.

"This isn't like the Y2K crisis, where everyone was afraid of a computer meltdown that never happened," said Cass Johnson, president of the National Council of Textile Organizations, a U.S. trade group that is pressing the Bush administration to impose immediate limits on Chinese imports. "This is happening, and the consequences are frightening."

Using figures from China's customs office, the textile group calculated that China is selling a cotton knit shirt at $1.71, down 45 percent from the $3.12 it sold for last year. Those low prices helped drive up imports of cotton knit shirts by 1,836 percent, it said.

The National Retail Federation had predicted the opposite. In documents submitted to court to block the administration from imposing limits on Chinese imports, the U.S. retailer's trade association said it did not anticipate major changes in sourcing from any direction in 2005 for the shirts and nearly every other product that had been limited by quotas.

Those statements were used to persuade the U.S. Court of International Trade to prevent the administration from imposing safeguards to prevent a surge in Chinese exports.

Don Brasher, president of Global Trade Information Services in Columbia, South Carolina, which tracks and releases trade figures from around the world and was the first to publish China's trade statistics, said this upsurge should come as no surprise.

"Were going from a quota regime to a quota-free regime, and China's one of the most competitive producers," Brasher said. "What do you expect?"

Brenda Jacobs, the Washington trade counsel to the U.S. Association of Importers of Textiles and Apparel, said she was wary of the Chinese figures and would wait to see the U.S. trade figures, scheduled to be released Friday.

"I just don't know what to expect. There will be shifting of production," said Jacobs, whose group supported the lifting of quotas. "But put this in context - there were a lot of companies that held off shipping goods in December in order to be sure they would not be caught in the quota system."

Source: http://www.iht.com/articles/2005/03/09/business/textile.html

 

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